Web28/4/ · In order to get the most out of the Chaos trading method in the volatile forex market, get his Trading Chaos 2nd Edition. It explains the Bearish & Bullish Divergent Web12/7/ · The “CHAOS” notion was first applied to the financial markets by a well-known American analyst and trader Ph.D. Bill Williams in his first book “Trading Chaos” Web8/6/ · Chaos, which the Williams system is built upon, is in every time frame. However, they suggest an absolute min. of 5 min. bars and you'll find, at least I have, that the more WebChaos Pinocchio H1 Strategy – A Simple System for Trading the Markets. Chaos Pinocchio is a universal trading system. It can be successfully used in all currency ... read more
All these players see a different picture of the market, which forms separate movements, trends , etc. If you remove from the chart display of the timeframe, you can hardly guess, to what time period this chart belongs. Our perception of reality is very relative and depends on what point of view we currently use.
In other words, it shows that all time frames on the market are linked — first, the trend changes on the lowest timeframe and then on a higher. The market energy is always the path of least resistance. You can make a comparison with a river, which paves the way through the natural barriers. Usually, this path is defined by an invisible structure. Similarly, the behavior of the river depends on the bed base structure.
The formation is affected by the way you see the market. The basic structure is amenable to change. Sometimes it seems like the majority of traders are trying to bail out all the water from the river by buckets, only to change the direction of its movement. Many people simply forget that it is possible to easily change the direction of the flow by removing a stone at the beginning of the river. That is to say that our view of the market can be always changed.
Since the market is a product of many minds, understanding, what leads to changes in prices gives a significant advantage in trading. Therefore, the Holy Grail is to want what the market wants. They have a penchant for independent thinking and action against conventional wisdom.
Usually, brave leaders, who attract other investors. The success of investors usually depends on the success of the leader — trader. Such people will not change the current state of affairs despite the unsatisfactory result. Any trading platform will suit for this trading system, as indicators of Bill Williams has long become standard in any terminal. The strategy can be used on any timeframe, but the author recommends the daily chart. Profitunity system consists of indicators: Alligator, Awesome Oscillator AO and Fractals.
Signals for entry on fractals should be better used only for refilling the position. Alligator is an expanded trend indicator. Obviously, in order to shift the blue line, more information is needed than to move the red or the green one.
The system uses default settings of the indicator. The next part of the system is a bullish or bearish reversal bar. This is the first signal to enter a trade. Therefore, we will look for the earliest signs of a reversal trend. Bullish reversal bar indicates a lower minimum relative to previous bars and closes above its midpoint. It says that at the beginning of the bar formation forces were on the side of the bears, but then the power went to the bulls.
In contrast to the bull bar, there is also a bearish reversal bar. This bar shows the new high and closes at its lower half. That is, at first the bulls ruled, but in the end, the bears won. Bullish and a bearish reversal bar should be located at a significant distance from the Alligator lines.
Also, the angle formed by the price should be greater than the angle formed by the jaws of an alligator. We sell below the minimum bearish reversal bar and set the stop-loss just above its maximum. The same, but in reverse, is true for the bull market. We make a buy order a little higher than the bearish reversal maximum, put the stop-loss at a certain distance below the minimum. The next stage of the system — the AO oscillator.
The indicator measures the momentum of the last 5 bars and compares this value with the last 34 bars. That is, the indicator displays the current power of the impulse. The signal for topping up to the opened position are three consecutive bars of the same color of AO histogram.
At the close of the third bar, we set a pending order just below the minimum candle and set stop-loss similarly to the first signal by the system — near the high of the same candle. However, if there was no reversal bar, we may well enter the transaction by AO indicator, but with a smaller lot size.
For the third signal in the classical strategy, fractals are used. Ideally, the upward fractal is, at least, five consecutive candles, where the highest high is accompanied by two lower ones on both sides. The same is true for the downward fractal, where the lowest low is accompanied by four bars with higher lows.
Fractal does not have to consist of 5 candles, it forms can be quite different:. When the fractal appears, we set a pending buy order. If a fractal works out, we also enter on the next fractals, until we make 5 orders.
The stop-loss should be set at the low of fractal candle bar, or at the maximum of last candles. Fractal can also be the first signal for the system if there were no signals by reversal bar and AO indicator.
If it is the first signal, enter with the minimum lot. The signal of the first wise men is formed at a rather big distance from the alligator. We expect the appearance of a bullish or bearish reversal bar. The purpose of the first signal — to enter the market at the best price with minimal losses. Now, it is necessary to pay special attention to the presence of a steeper price inclination relative to alligator lines good angulation , particularly regarding the blue line — the jaws;.
If the market continues to move in our direction, we begin counting the bars in the AO histogram. After three consecutive bars of the same color appear green for buy, red for sell , top up to the main position according to the MM system;. The purpose of the third wise men is to simply follow the trend while it goes in our direction. When the fractal arises, we set a stop order just outside of the extremum and stop-loss at the lowest low or the highest high over the last 3 or 5 bars;.
Continue to monitor the flow of new signals until the position size reaches its maximum size, in accordance with the MM according to the book — 5 orders in total ;. If the position was not closed by the stop-loss, we quit when an opposite signal arises or reverse the position. You should exit from the position at the appearance of the opposite signal. That is, wait for the appearance of reversal bar or three consecutive bars of the same color in the AO histogram.
To calculate the position size Bill Williams recommends the following approach, which looks like an inverse pyramid:. The size of the positions is better to be set by not more than 0. For the lot size calculation, you can use a lot calculator. As it has to be, when a bullish reversal bar appears, we set pending buy order just above its maximum. We define the availability or lack of the trend according to the lines of the Alligator indicator.
If the lines are intertwined, there is no trend in the market. If the Alligator lines are separated and oriented in the same direction, this means the market is in the condition of the trend in the trend wave of one or another level. The point of entering the bullish trend market is the fractal break above the teeth line of the Alligator indicator red line , and the bearish trend — in the fractal break below the above mentioned line.
In such a way the trader never stays aside of the trend which is being generated. They include: — buy signal above the balance line — sell signal below the balance line — buy signal below the balance line — sell signal above the balance line. Let me remind you that the balance line for the day range is a blue line of the Alligator indicator — jaw line. Even if there is no divergence in the market, this signal tells the trader that the trend movement in the market is weakening.
There are three types of signals from this indicator. The first two types of the signals come from the histogram when the histogram of the AC indicator is below or above the zero line. If two consecutive bars of the histogram are formed above the zero line, the break of the highest high of the corresponding bar position with the second such column of the AC histogram will be considered a buy signal.
A sell signal — similarly, but with the AC histogram in this case below the zero line. The third type of the signal is the colour of the histogram of the AC indicator.
If it is green, it means that the prices in the market tend to increase, if it is red — to decrease. The change of the colour of the histogram by the AC indicator is an initial signal to the trader that the histogram of the AO indicator will also change its color soon. Further accelerated development of computer technology at the beginning of the 21st century did not only allow applying the up-to-date methods of market analysis, but gave new possibilities of computer trading which substantially changed the market prices behaviour.
The market became more volatile and variable. Only three indicators remain in the chart, namely: Alligator indicator with the original settings, Fractals indicator and AO indicator. The book repeatedly includes the information about the understanding of the extreme, neutral and targeted bars.
The book clearly regulates the signals for placing the points of protecting the trading profit and points of entering and exiting the market. The trading strategy becomes more aggressive, flexible and complying with the contemporary markets. Trading according to this system is very profitable on the one hand, but extremely dangerous on the other. The danger lies in non-readiness, wrong interpretation of the signals described in the Russian version of the book, lack of special software.
Download indicator and template HERE, We can learn more about these three wise man from bill william trading system ebook , so we trade with stress free.
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Home » Forex Trading System » Chaos Trading System by Bill Williams Part 2. admin on July 12, — Leave a Comment.
Unless we change our direction, we are most likely to end up where we are headed Chinese proverb. Hello, dear friends, Forex traders! This strategy has contradictory reviews, some people trade on it for 8 years, someone loses although, as we know, trolls always lose. Why has this system become so famous? Is it still relevant to the present day? What are its strengths and weaknesses? Bill Williams, the author of the strategy , was born in and started trading in That time he worked as a teacher in a business school in Florida, and the idea to start making trades he took from the professor from the Accounting Department, in fact, completely copying his actions on his own account.
So, after having traded like that nearly 21 years, a former teacher decided to start doing professional trading. But, unfortunately, the independent trading did not bring positive results. The market, according to Bill Williams, actually, is very simple. In fact, the market is the sum of the views of all investors. In the case of forex, this could be a simple need for currency. All these players see a different picture of the market, which forms separate movements, trends , etc.
If you remove from the chart display of the timeframe, you can hardly guess, to what time period this chart belongs. Our perception of reality is very relative and depends on what point of view we currently use. In other words, it shows that all time frames on the market are linked — first, the trend changes on the lowest timeframe and then on a higher.
The market energy is always the path of least resistance. You can make a comparison with a river, which paves the way through the natural barriers. Usually, this path is defined by an invisible structure. Similarly, the behavior of the river depends on the bed base structure. The formation is affected by the way you see the market. The basic structure is amenable to change. Sometimes it seems like the majority of traders are trying to bail out all the water from the river by buckets, only to change the direction of its movement.
Many people simply forget that it is possible to easily change the direction of the flow by removing a stone at the beginning of the river. That is to say that our view of the market can be always changed. Since the market is a product of many minds, understanding, what leads to changes in prices gives a significant advantage in trading. Therefore, the Holy Grail is to want what the market wants. They have a penchant for independent thinking and action against conventional wisdom.
Usually, brave leaders, who attract other investors. The success of investors usually depends on the success of the leader — trader. Such people will not change the current state of affairs despite the unsatisfactory result. Any trading platform will suit for this trading system, as indicators of Bill Williams has long become standard in any terminal.
The strategy can be used on any timeframe, but the author recommends the daily chart. Profitunity system consists of indicators: Alligator, Awesome Oscillator AO and Fractals.
Signals for entry on fractals should be better used only for refilling the position. Alligator is an expanded trend indicator. Obviously, in order to shift the blue line, more information is needed than to move the red or the green one. The system uses default settings of the indicator. The next part of the system is a bullish or bearish reversal bar. This is the first signal to enter a trade. Therefore, we will look for the earliest signs of a reversal trend.
Bullish reversal bar indicates a lower minimum relative to previous bars and closes above its midpoint. It says that at the beginning of the bar formation forces were on the side of the bears, but then the power went to the bulls.
In contrast to the bull bar, there is also a bearish reversal bar. This bar shows the new high and closes at its lower half. That is, at first the bulls ruled, but in the end, the bears won. Bullish and a bearish reversal bar should be located at a significant distance from the Alligator lines.
Also, the angle formed by the price should be greater than the angle formed by the jaws of an alligator. We sell below the minimum bearish reversal bar and set the stop-loss just above its maximum. The same, but in reverse, is true for the bull market.
We make a buy order a little higher than the bearish reversal maximum, put the stop-loss at a certain distance below the minimum. The next stage of the system — the AO oscillator. The indicator measures the momentum of the last 5 bars and compares this value with the last 34 bars.
That is, the indicator displays the current power of the impulse. The signal for topping up to the opened position are three consecutive bars of the same color of AO histogram. At the close of the third bar, we set a pending order just below the minimum candle and set stop-loss similarly to the first signal by the system — near the high of the same candle.
However, if there was no reversal bar, we may well enter the transaction by AO indicator, but with a smaller lot size. For the third signal in the classical strategy, fractals are used. Ideally, the upward fractal is, at least, five consecutive candles, where the highest high is accompanied by two lower ones on both sides. The same is true for the downward fractal, where the lowest low is accompanied by four bars with higher lows.
Fractal does not have to consist of 5 candles, it forms can be quite different:. When the fractal appears, we set a pending buy order. If a fractal works out, we also enter on the next fractals, until we make 5 orders. The stop-loss should be set at the low of fractal candle bar, or at the maximum of last candles.
Fractal can also be the first signal for the system if there were no signals by reversal bar and AO indicator. If it is the first signal, enter with the minimum lot. The signal of the first wise men is formed at a rather big distance from the alligator. We expect the appearance of a bullish or bearish reversal bar. The purpose of the first signal — to enter the market at the best price with minimal losses. Now, it is necessary to pay special attention to the presence of a steeper price inclination relative to alligator lines good angulation , particularly regarding the blue line — the jaws;.
If the market continues to move in our direction, we begin counting the bars in the AO histogram. After three consecutive bars of the same color appear green for buy, red for sell , top up to the main position according to the MM system;. The purpose of the third wise men is to simply follow the trend while it goes in our direction. When the fractal arises, we set a stop order just outside of the extremum and stop-loss at the lowest low or the highest high over the last 3 or 5 bars;.
Continue to monitor the flow of new signals until the position size reaches its maximum size, in accordance with the MM according to the book — 5 orders in total ;. If the position was not closed by the stop-loss, we quit when an opposite signal arises or reverse the position.
You should exit from the position at the appearance of the opposite signal. That is, wait for the appearance of reversal bar or three consecutive bars of the same color in the AO histogram. To calculate the position size Bill Williams recommends the following approach, which looks like an inverse pyramid:.
The size of the positions is better to be set by not more than 0. For the lot size calculation, you can use a lot calculator. As it has to be, when a bullish reversal bar appears, we set pending buy order just above its maximum. As you see it in the above chart, the signals numbered 1 and 2 appeared to be false and closed by stop-loss. Once the trend reversed, we top up at the fractals breakdown until we make 5 orders.
When you see a bearish reversal bar, close the position at BUY and immediately open a SELL order at the minimum of the reversal bar. As you can see, despite the fact that we could enter the position only from the third attempt, the profit from the captured movement covered the losses of the two previous transactions.
Next, using the Sell Stop orders, we top up when the signal by AO appears and the minimum fractal is broken down.
We leave the same way — with the appearance of the return signal in this case, bullish reversal bar. Despite the fact that the original strategy was to follow the trend, then the enters became much earlier, literally at the first sign of reversal. According to the author, these changes are related to the fact that the markets today have become much more mobile, and therefore require a more aggressive approach. At the same time, one of the main advantages of the strategy is that even having caught a few consecutive stops, the loss is more than covered with a much larger profit from the trend movement.
The only weakness of the system, in my personal opinion, is its entrance. However, in this case, the use of additional filters may help. In fact, markets are exchanges of emotional energy, and the energy takes its final shape in the form of money.
Home Forex For Beginners Forex Brokers Binary Options Brokers Forex Robots All Posts Trading Tools Economic Calendar Forex Market Hours Online Quotes Forex Charts Lot Size Calculator Margin Calculator. Unless we change our direction, we are most likely to end up where we are headed Chinese proverb Hello, dear friends, Forex traders! Features of the Profitunity strategy Platform: Any Currency pairs: Any Timeframe: Any recommended D1 Trading Hours: Around the clock Recommended broker: Roboforex , Exness Bill Williams Bill Williams, the author of the strategy , was born in and started trading in Market is the sum of opinions The market, according to Bill Williams, actually, is very simple.
WebChaos Pinocchio H1 Strategy – A Simple System for Trading the Markets. Chaos Pinocchio is a universal trading system. It can be successfully used in all currency Web8/6/ · Chaos, which the Williams system is built upon, is in every time frame. However, they suggest an absolute min. of 5 min. bars and you'll find, at least I have, that the more Web28/4/ · In order to get the most out of the Chaos trading method in the volatile forex market, get his Trading Chaos 2nd Edition. It explains the Bearish & Bullish Divergent Web12/7/ · The “CHAOS” notion was first applied to the financial markets by a well-known American analyst and trader Ph.D. Bill Williams in his first book “Trading Chaos” ... read more
Read the book! Bullish reversal bar indicates a lower minimum relative to previous bars and closes above its midpoint. Usually, brave leaders, who attract other investors. we go long when AO cross zero line from negative to positive values and short on the opposite scenario. If two consecutive bars of the histogram are formed above the zero line, the break of the highest high of the corresponding bar position with the second such column of the AC histogram will be considered a buy signal. We define the availability or lack of the trend according to the lines of the Alligator indicator. This web site does not intend to repeat or describe the Chaos Theory in financial markets.
Even if there is no divergence in the market, chaos trading system forex signal tells the trader that the trend movement in the market is weakening. Alligator is an expanded trend indicator. The last book out of the trilogy substantially reduces the number of the trading signals:. Read the book! Leading Or Lagging Economics Indicators That We Can Use To Predict The Market Trends? Blue line — bar MA with 8-bar shift. This web site does not intend to repeat or describe the Chaos Theory in financial markets.